@oluseyi As a case that things will definitely go larger than six inches, my argument is not terribly strong. I believe it is much stronger as a case that things will plausibly go larger than six inches.
@oluseyi Looking back, my original statement was something like "phones are getting bigger. I tend to think it will stop at 7" you said definitely not. You may have overestimated my certainty, but I believe I have consistently only argued for plausibility.
@oluseyi I think that phone sizes will gradually rise over the next years. And that there is probably a thirty percent chance that they will end up around 7" on average, 20 percent that they will end up around 6" and fifty percent that new display tech
@oluseyi You are ascribing far more certainty to me. From my perspective there are certain things which make it quite possible. Other things which might prevent it and a bullish case for Apple is that the zone between 4" and 8" is not viable long term.
@oluseyi I have never claimed that it was certain that large phones will dominate. I think it is a plausible prediction. There are a ton of things that might falsify it and I have mentioned them previously in this conversation,
@oluseyi Saying "FOO is growing in popularity so it might become common" is not bad statistics. If you wait until after it becomes common, then you are no longer in the prediction business. Obviously extrapolation isn't guaranteed. But it isn't dumb.
@oluseyi It is entirely possible that large >6" phones will *become* a stable niche. They are not right now. Two years ago there were none. Last year several were released for the first time. You cannot call something stable until it is stabilized.
@oluseyi I would say that the tesla also represents a current trend in automobiles. Especially sports cars. Electric powered drive trains are on the rise even though I know that you think the current way things are done is foolish.
@oluseyi Right now, given the increasing phone sizes across all models, they are indicative of a general appetite for bigger screens. That is why they are not meaningless. A few years back, galaxy notes were 'huge'. The s5 is almost as big as the note1 was
@oluseyi Currently, the market share of more than six inch phones is rising. A year ago there were none. Now there are several models from multiple manufacturers. If their popularity levels off, then that will be indicative of a plateau.